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Nader Could Tip Presidential Election in Bush's Favor

By Michelle Munn

 


Photo by Nirmal Govind

Ralph Nader activists watch the election bulletins at the Green Party headquarters in San Francisco.


Green Party candidate Ralph Nader failed to win the 5 percent of the national vote needed to earn the Greens federal matching money in 2004. But his role in this year’s presidential race could not be more significant.

As the U.S. presidential election came down to the wire Wednesday morning, Nader held more votes in Wisconsin, Oregon and Florida than the narrow margins that divided Gore and Texas Governor George W. Bush in those races.

In Florida, the state crucial to determining which major party candidate will win the White House, Nader’s 2 percent or 96,560 votes could deny Gore the 25 electoral votes he needs to eke out a victory in the electoral college over Bush. After an extraordinary night in which the state teetered between the two major candidates, the final tally showed them separated by a mere 200 votes. The state officials announced there would be an automatic recount.

In two other states also too close to call, Wisconsin and Oregon, Bush held narrow leads, 49 percent versus Gore’s 46 percent and Nader’s 4 percent in Oregon. Bush held just 193 more votes than Gore in Wisconsin, with Nader bringing in more than 91,000, or 4 percent of the vote.

Poll results show that Nader did not siphon enough votes from the Democratic candidate in other swing states including Michigan, Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Washington to defeat Gore outright.
When asked tonight if he was disappointed at earning just 3 percent of the national vote, Nader declared the night a win for the Green Party anyway.

"We're coming out of this election with millions of votes -- with the third-largest political party in America, replacing the Reform Party," he said. "We become a viable watchdog party on the two parties, telling them they need to shape up or they're going to lose votes in the future."

Nader pointed to his strong showing in California, Washington and Oregon, where he collected 5, 4 and 4 percent of the vote, respectively.

Nader campaigned in Florida repeatedly in October and November, irking Democratic Party faithful. And despite pre-election polls showing him with 3 percent support nationally, Nader had refused to abandon his cause and urge voters in swing states to opt for Gore.

"If you ask me," he said, "I wouldn’t vote for Gore under any circumstances."

He had hoped to attract 5 percent of the vote and qualify the Green Party for federal matching funds in 2004.

But instead of campaigning in solid Gore states like New York, Texas and Arizona, where the outcome was preordained, Nader campaigned in swing states including Washington, Oregon, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida and Pennsylvania.

Nader has said that with one of every four Americans unable to earn a living wage despite the good economic times, change is overdue. The other candidates have betrayed the American people by opening up the Pacific Northwest to logging, by favoring HMOs that serve corporate interests instead of patients, and by allowing the "imperialist" rise of the WTO and NAFTA.

Nader had urged progressives to give him a "vote of conscience." He told supporters at a rally in Washington D.C. Sunday that even if people pick the "lesser of two evils" they are "still left with evil
."

 

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